MethodsStrategyFuture Scenario

Future Scenario

Explore four alternative futures on a 2×2 of critical uncertainties.

In Focus / Trends · Out Future Scenarios · Cost 25 credits

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What it does

Builds speculative scenarios for how a market, technology or behaviour could develop over three to ten years, using the futures cone — probable, plausible, possible, preferable.

When to reach for it

For decisions with a multi-year horizon, and when a disruption would change the business model rather than just the roadmap.

Run STEEP Scan first

Without it the method invents its own two critical uncertainties, and the futures come out feeling arbitrary — because they are.